2023年12月四级第3套仔细阅读 Passage 2 原文翻译及答案解析

People in business often make decisions based on their own personal feelings or instincts. It is quite horrifying to see people being guided by some unknown force. But how wise is it, really, to let your instincts drive your decisions?

商业人士常常基于个人情感或本能做出决策。看到人们被某种未知力量引导，实在令人震惊。但让本能驱动决策，真的明智吗？

In the decision-making process, relying on instincts only makes sense when you have a vast experience to support you. Simply "feeling" that something is right or should be done is highly subjective and can drown you.

在决策过程中，依赖本能只有在拥有丰富经验支持时才合理。仅仅“感觉”某事正确或应该做，是非常主观的，可能会让你陷入困境。

On the other hand, there is a more rational approach to making decisions. Data and analysis have long been associated with informed decisions. These reduce the likelihood of errors and increase the chances of success. Big, systematic data is mostly the foundation of most of our decisions, personal and business alike. But with its extreme usability comes a complication: what do you do if you strongly feel something should not be done, even if the data insists that it should?

另一方面，有一种更理性的决策方法。数据和分析长期以来与明智决策相关。它们降低了错误的可能性，增加了成功的机会。大型、系统化的数据大多是我们大部分决策的基础，无论是个人还是商业决策。但其极高的实用性带来了一个复杂问题：如果你强烈感觉某事不应该做，即使数据坚持应该做，你会怎么办？

This seemingly easy question is what drives the need to understand the relationship between instincts and data in the decision-making process. Without making things complicated, the solution to this dilemma is using data and instincts in conjunction to arrive at the best possible decisions.

这个看似简单的问题推动了理解决策过程中本能与数据关系的需求。不使事情复杂化，解决这一困境的方法是结合使用数据和本能，以做出最佳决策。

Instinctive decisions are always backed by previous experiences or information, which acknowledges that instinctive decisions have worked in the past. Decisions are not about making the choice and braving the consequences because you want to blindly trust your instincts. They are about combining your inner wisdom with the knowledge of systematic data to make the best decisions.

本能决策总是有先前经验或信息支持，这承认了本能决策在过去是有效的。决策不是关于做出选择并承担后果，因为你想盲目信任本能。它们是关于将你的内在智慧与系统数据的知识结合起来，以做出最佳决策。

Sometimes, rational analysis and data are impractical to be employed in certain situations. Absence of definitive criteria, and time and resource constraints, and novel situations are instances which limit the practicality of data. The only feasible option is to rely on what your instincts tell you. In these situations, instincts can help you make effective and quick decisions.

有时，在特定情况下，理性和数据的使用是不切实际的。缺乏明确标准、时间和资源限制以及新颖情况，都是限制数据实用性的实例。唯一可行的选择是依赖你的本能告诉你什么。在这些情况下，本能可以帮助你做出有效且快速的决策。

Combining instinctive and rational analysis produces well-rounded decisions. It reduces the chances of making mistakes, and has increasingly become a favorite approach to decision-making among leaders of today.

结合本能和理性的分析可以产生全面的决策。它减少了犯错的机会，并且越来越成为当今领导者首选的决策方法。